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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:43 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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American Coupon Boy wrote:
Mark wrote:
ONE blue remaining is bound to happen but is he going to make history and do it at 11 box?


Yep, this would be the first 10 red/1 blue split at 11 box if Thomas finds a blue now.


What's the odds of that happening?


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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:44 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
Warnings: 0
Mark wrote:
American Coupon Boy wrote:
Mark wrote:
ONE blue remaining is bound to happen but is he going to make history and do it at 11 box?


Yep, this would be the first 10 red/1 blue split at 11 box if Thomas finds a blue now.


What's the odds of that happening?

0.017% (121/705432)

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:45 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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Mark wrote:
American Coupon Boy wrote:
Mark wrote:
ONE blue remaining is bound to happen but is he going to make history and do it at 11 box?


Yep, this would be the first 10 red/1 blue split at 11 box if Thomas finds a blue now.


What's the odds of that happening?


1 in 5,830. :shock:

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


Last edited by American Coupon Boy on Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:46 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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Hold up ACB, our numbers don't match up. How'd you calculate yours?
I just went 11 possible blues to keep * 11 possible reds to remove = 121 useful combinations, and 22C11 = 705432.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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richie4eva1

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:46 pm    Author: richie4eva1    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:06 pm
Location: Barry, South Wales
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Part 3

ROUND 3 cont.

Box 17 - Leo - £50,000

Banker time

_________________
Next pilgrim appearances on TV - February 21 & 23 2014

You've been banker bashed
"Regrettably when he rings, he is laughing his designer socks off"


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richie4eva1

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:48 pm    Author: richie4eva1    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:06 pm
Location: Barry, South Wales
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BANKER'S OFFER

£26,000



Thomas says NO DEAL

_________________
Next pilgrim appearances on TV - February 21 & 23 2014

You've been banker bashed
"Regrettably when he rings, he is laughing his designer socks off"


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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:48 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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Judging by time of answer I can see another 8 box deal...

Or a big upcoming crash.


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:49 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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JDGA wrote:
Hold up ACB, our numbers don't match up. How'd you calculate yours?
I just went 11 possible blues to keep * 11 possible reds to remove = 121 useful combinations, and 22C11 = 705432.


I copied the wrong stat from the "Improbable DOND events" thread. :oops:

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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richie4eva1

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:51 pm    Author: richie4eva1    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Location: Barry, South Wales
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Michelle starts a chant, somewhat prematurely

ROUND 4

Box 19 - Dave - £10
Box 2 - Matty - £10,000
Box 15 - Jen - £5,000

Banker time

_________________
Next pilgrim appearances on TV - February 21 & 23 2014

You've been banker bashed
"Regrettably when he rings, he is laughing his designer socks off"


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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:51 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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ONE blue at eight box :D In LIVE play :D

Is he going to know the "you know what"?


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:52 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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WHAT A BOARD!!! :shock: :shock: :D :D

I'd probably want £40,000+ here.

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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:54 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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18 would deal on that board?!?!


Last edited by Mark on Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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richie4eva1

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:54 pm    Author: richie4eva1    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:06 pm
Location: Barry, South Wales
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BANKER'S OFFER

£40,000



End of part 3

_________________
Next pilgrim appearances on TV - February 21 & 23 2014

You've been banker bashed
"Regrettably when he rings, he is laughing his designer socks off"


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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:54 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
Warnings: 0
Final break @ 40 minutes...


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:55 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Yep, Thomas is dealing here and rightly so. :smt023

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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JDGA

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:59 pm    Author: JDGA    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:23 pm
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I'm honestly not sure I'd be happy dropping out even with that. 3/8 boxes are equal or higher, and that bumps up to 50% once you consider the £35k isn't far behind. Pretty much anything short of a nightmare round will get at least a stick (I think?), I'd say this board is still very playable.

_________________
Fickle, cold and harsh or caring and warm
Strongly opinionated or barely invested, but a constant
You know the wind will always come back.


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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:59 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
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We all saw that answer coming, didn't we? YUP!

Extremely very cautious (x unlimited) deal & player.

Extremely very brave to deal box 23?


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richie4eva1

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 3:59 pm    Author: richie4eva1    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:06 pm
Location: Barry, South Wales
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Part 4

To the 4th offer of £40,000 Thomas says DEAL

_________________
Next pilgrim appearances on TV - February 21 & 23 2014

You've been banker bashed
"Regrettably when he rings, he is laughing his designer socks off"


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American Coupon Boy

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 4:01 pm    Author: American Coupon Boy    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas
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Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2013 10:20 pm
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Mark wrote:
We all saw that answer coming, didn't we? YUP!

Extremely very cautious (x unlimited) deal & player.

Extremely very brave to deal box 23?


Extremely absurd abd predictable poat and poster. :roll:

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Miss Deal or No Deal? The US version returns in Fall 2018 with yours truly as a recapper.


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Mark

PostPosted: Tue Jan 19, 2016 4:01 pm    Author: Mark    Post subject: Re: 19/01 Thomas

Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 2:09 am
Location: Ipswich
Warnings: 0
All red five box :D Sadly not in live play :(


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