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DOND Addict

PostPosted: Tue Dec 01, 2009 3:37 am    Author: DOND Addict    Post subject: Better to deal at 5 box as good chance to get BG?

Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2009 12:37 am
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I was wondering if people think it's often a good tactic to deal at 5 box, because even if you end up with a high number, you still run a good chance of getting the Banker's Gamble? So say you had the following at 5 box:

100,000
20,000
1,000
500
50p

You get offered say £16,000.

Should you deal? Because you know that's it's quite a gamble as it is, but at the same time there is a chance, while not guaranteed, that should you end up with say 100,000 and 500 at two box, you will be offered the Banker's Gamble?

Having watched quite a few games, I think that if you reach 5 box with one massive amount left, statistically you run a good chance to deal at a reasonable amount knowing that you have already accepted a nice sum, but you still have a reasonable chance of getting the Banker's Gamble should a really high number remain plus an amount that is substantially lower than what you dealt at. Then it becomes 50/50 as opposed to 20/80.

I always feel this is a slight flaw, as while you can of course end up with two really low figures or two really high figures, there is often a good chance you will end up with a low/high configuration that will get you offered the Banker's Gamble.

What do you think?


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alexandercbrown

PostPosted: Tue Dec 01, 2009 1:49 pm    Author: alexandercbrown    Post subject: Re: Better to deal at 5 box as good chance to get BG?

Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2007 8:30 pm
Location: edinburgh
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Hard to say - I've thought about this before. This situation is very rare anyway as undeals usually apply to cautious players who have taken average/low offers.
I'd undeal that in an instant if I'd dealt at 5 box.

I've said before that I would deal 12K in a situation of 1K/20K/50K/2 blues and hope the gamble comes up if the 50K remains.

In a game like Anita's though with two huge amounts available I'd carry on anyway regardless of the undeal as it's a bit risky but not too risky. I wouldn't expect the gamble there.


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SeahawkTim

PostPosted: Wed Dec 02, 2009 1:14 am    Author: SeahawkTim    Post subject: Re: Better to deal at 5 box as good chance to get BG?

Joined: Tue Sep 22, 2009 12:33 pm
Warnings: 0
Dealing at 5-box just so you can get offered a Banker's Gamble doesn't make a lot of sense if you're not going to take the gamble anyway (as it seems nobody is willing to gamble even in clearly optimal situations as of late).


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