matt26 wrote:
I know it's been on lower stakes this last week, but it's also bizarre to me how, apart from Mike, none of these above-mean offers got taken, and no one in the studio is pointing out how over generous these offers are!
There is probably an element of game theory to this. The contestants have a strangely generous banker at 2-box.
The players could always take the mean or above-mean offer. If they consistently do, that sends a signal to the banker that the offers might be too generous, and adjust accordingly.
Since the players will either win the mean or above, they can't lose in terms of the offers themselves. Only pure chance can decide whether they win the lower or higher amount on the board, and if the stakes are low (which often happens at 2-box in this version), there's little harm in playing on.
Only when the offer is hundreds of pounds above the mean does it give the players pause, because it is completely free money. They then focus on what they would lose, rather than what the effects of dealing would be on future players.
Effectively the banker is playing the role of a fool and the players are taking advantage of that. The show is taking advantage of the players' desire to maximise their payout, so that viewers watch all of the ad breaks.
matt26 wrote:
It could still settle down with time, but for now it's just producing too many games that feel too homogenous. And it's a shame because in days past each game felt radically different from one day to the next...
When Deal started in 2005, I recall that there were three producers behind the scenes who came up with the offers together. The only restriction was that the offer range was bounded using a spreadsheet (or mathematical system equivalent).
My hypothesis is that the current version uses a spreadsheet, but with a more restricted bounding, to the accuracy of £5 rather than £100s. The effect is exaggerated as the value of the board has been halved. I suspect that there is a different system at work as well now which makes the offer structure more linear, from initially poor early on to ridiculously good at the end.
Eventually the banker might start to deviate significantly from this, but it might take a while.
matt26 wrote:
If I'm being honest, while I do still enjoy the show, it's largely because of nostalgia for the 'classic era' of DOND and not on the new series' own merits. But even that's starting to wear thin with the offers the banker keeps making.
The show is very different from its original form. It might take another series before it starts to become good, though I fear that by then, ITV will already have started to consider putting something else permanently in its place.